REFLECTIONS OF THE CHAIRMAN

Tough trading times…
You don’t need me to tell you how tough things are and if many pundits are to be believed, we still have some way to go before seeing an improvement in the worldwide economy, which in turn will have an effect on us.
   Figures recently released show we have over 2.2million people unemployed in the UK - the largest number for over 12 years. That is a big problem, especially as it is forecast to reach in excess of 3million by the end of the year. That, combined with a lack of confidence and uncertainty, is our biggest problem. Together they make the public nervous that they might be the ones to lose their job in the future; consequently, they are reluctant to spend any money just in case they do lose it and that makes a precarious situation even worse. After all, a recession is when your neighbour loses his job - a depression is when you lose yours.
   Of course we can understand the anxiety, but assuming people are still working, then they have never been so affluent. Their mortgages (assuming they are not on a fixed rate) have never been so inexpensive, probably half of what they were paying this time last year. There are sales everywhere and inflation is falling - although that could pose a problem if it were to become deflation, because then the public would again avoid spending for the fear that the goods and services they buy could and probably would soon become even cheaper.
   So instead of spending their newfound wealth, they are saving it or endeavouring to settle outstanding finance / credit card bills in case they too become one of the unemployed!

Where is the money going?
As an aside, I read that many savers are withdrawing their money from banks and building societies due to their lack of confidence in them, but just where is it all going? Under the mattress? I can’t believe they are all investing in the Dial-a-Cab Credit Union scheme, where a fantastic return of 7% is promised on your investment! I’ve had many members approach me and ask if they should invest in the Credit Union, but I do not believe I am in a position to advise anyone on their financial situation, except to say that the Credit Union is

Brian Rice
advised by their parent organisation, the Association of British Credit Unions Limited (ABCUL) and in turn is responsible to the FSA – and I know all about them! If anything were wrong, they would not allow the Dial-a-Cab Credit Union permission to continue the regulated activity of accepting deposits.

Getting better?
But I digress. So how do we get out of this problem and instil a little confidence in people? Of course we all know that the best people to run the country are either cutting hair or driving taxis, so perhaps we can play our part in some small way to help people focus on some of the positives. For instance, retail sales in London’s High Streets were up 6.3% in February compared with the previous year, so what does this mean? Perhaps London is not faring as badly as the rest of the country? Certainly unemployment is not rising as fast in London as it is in the rest of the country. It could also mean that due to the fall in sterling’ value compared with other currencies, we could be attracting tourists who will now find London quite inexpensive. In just one year, we have gone from the third most expensive city in the world to the twenty seventh most expensive - or should that be least expensive?
   I believe this year will see a tourist boom, assuming of course we do not have any atrocities in London. I’m sure that many of you that work on weekends have already experienced the increase in visitors who become even more noticeable when the sun is shining. Even though the financial sector is struggling at the moment, which in turn affects us, that void can hopefully be filled by the increase in visitors to London. After all, we’re not proud - we will accept anyone’s money!
   I also see that Citi and Barclays are making money again, while Northern Rock have repaid billions and once again are lending out for mortgages. So perhaps things are beginning to improve,

all we need is to start installing a bit of confidence. Although writing of confidence, I still cannot comprehend the trillions and trillions that have been poured by governments into financial institutions to bale them out due to greed and negligence. It is said they made some bad loans and invested in the sub prime market, well they must have been doing it for years and years and every bad debt they have ever had has come out of the woodwork. How can they lose these vast amounts of money without anyone realising – unless, perhaps, they did but then did nothing about it in case it were to affect their bonuses? The money that has been poured into financial institutions would probably be enough to re-mortgage every property in the world – they certainly have something to answer for!
   Anyway, there is a moral in the above! You are now armed with a few snippets of positive information that you can pass on to your passengers when the subject of the economy is raised and they sound ultra-gloomy. Can you imagine the follow up? "Hey, I was talking to a cab driver the other day and he tells me we have moved from third to twenty seventh least expensive city in the world, the number of tourists are up on previous years, more money is being spent on the High Street and some Banks are starting to make money! Primark profits are up 18% and poor old M&S only made a profit of £298m in the first half of their financial year. And if a taxi driver told me, then it must be right!" So perhaps it isn’t all doom and gloom and if we have a good summer with lots of sunshine, then we could be on our way.

Selling your cab?
Finally, I’d like to remind you that if you are selling your cab then you must have our equipment removed by Roman Way. Relying on the new owner to do it is not good enough; it is your responsibility.
   I point this out because we have had several cases recently where equipment has not been removed when it should have been. After all, the last thing we want to do is request an equipment bond from each member…

Brian Rice
Chairman
Dial-a-Cab


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